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后期棕榈油库存或继续降 支撑棕榈油价格

浏?#26469;?#25968;: 日期:2015-4-24 14:04

截至上周末主要港口棕榈油库存总量为50万吨,较假期前的53万吨下降近6%,预计后期棕榈油库存可能继续下降,支撑棕榈油价格。
马来西亚棕榈油价格上涨,棕榈油进口倒挂幅度加大;周一,马来西亚棕榈?#25512;?#20215;大幅上涨近3%,国内棕榈油价格仅小幅上涨,棕榈油进口亏损幅度加大。3月船期24度棕榈油FOB报价为675美元/吨,合完税成本5574元/吨,低于广东地区棕榈油报价374元/吨,进口亏损幅度较上周五扩大40元/吨。
巴西卡车司机罢工接近尾声,市场对南?#26469;?#35910;供应的担忧缓解。由于本年度美国大豆装运速度较快,部分抵消了南?#26469;?#35910;供应延迟的影响。2月大豆到港量在480-500万吨,3月为450-500万吨左右,与去年同期持平略增。
目前近月压榨利润高于远月,加之市场对后期豆粕价格仍然看空,油厂开工意愿较强,豆粕供应恢复或快于预期,压制现货及近月合约,豆粕5-9价差或将缩小。另外,5-9正套获利平仓也将导致价差的修正。
 

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